PREDICTIONMARKETSINSTITUTE
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Knowledge Registry

Every qualified contribution makes the profession sharper.

The Registry is the shared intelligence layer: practice contributions, control patterns, settlement standards, and curriculum artifacts—with confidential material and exam content excluded.

Research noteAccepting

Original analysis of market behaviour or contract mechanics

Reviewed before entry · Versioned authority and review lineage

Control patternAccepting

Surveillance, escalation and halt designs that held up in practice

Reviewed before entry · Versioned authority and review lineage

Settlement standardAccepting

Resolution-source and dispute-handling patterns for contested outcomes

Reviewed before entry · Versioned authority and review lineage

Product memoAccepting

Design rationale for a novel contract, with its failure modes

Reviewed before entry · Versioned authority and review lineage

De-identified postmortemAccepting

What went wrong, what caught it, and what would have caught it sooner

Reviewed before entry · Versioned authority and review lineage

Prediction Markets Institute

What if tomorrow was predictable?

An independent research institute for prediction markets. We publish research and methods, set out design standards, and convene the people who build, supervise and study these markets.

Prediction Markets Institute (PMI) is the organisation. PMA-CICP is the credential it is establishing. This site is named after the credential, not after a second body.

© 2026 Prediction Markets Institute

Prediction Markets Institute is an independent research and standards body. It does not claim tax-exempt status.

The Institute is a research and professional body. It is not a regulator, an exchange, a designated contract market, a broker-dealer, or a registered investment adviser, and it is not authorised, endorsed or approved by any such body. Membership and any credential the Institute confers attest to professional competence only; they confer no licence, registration or permission to advise, solicit, trade, or handle client assets, and are neither approved nor required by the CFTC, the NFA, or any other regulator. The PMA-CICP credential is in development and has not been issued.

Nothing on this site is investment, legal or tax advice, an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any contract, or a prediction of any outcome. Prediction market and derivative contracts carry risk, including total loss.