Fellows programme

The people who do the work, and put their name on it.

Fellows carry the Institute's research agenda: they author papers, review each other's drafts, and decide what is good enough to publish. The first cohort is being formed now.

Appointments

Four kinds of fellow.

01

Research fellows

Lead or co-author work on one of the standing tracks. Fellows set the question, choose the method, and defend the result in review.

02

Practice fellows

Operators, traders, risk and surveillance staff who keep the research honest about how venues behave when a contract is contested at 2am.

03

Policy fellows

People with supervisory, legal or regulatory experience who translate between market mechanics and the frameworks that will govern them.

04

Reviewers

Outside readers who take a draft apart before publication. Reviewers may publish a dissent alongside a paper they were not persuaded by.

Current roster

The founding cohort has not been announced.

No names are listed here yet because no appointments have been confirmed. Fellows will be published individually, with their affiliation and the track they lead, once they have accepted.

Forming

What a fellowship involves

An obligation, not an honorific.

Term
Appointments run for a fixed term and are renewable. There is no fee to become a fellow.
Contribution
A fellow is expected to author or review a defined amount of work over the term, not to lend a name to a list.
Independence
Fellows publish under their own name. The Institute does not require agreement with its other publications.
Disclosure
Employment, venue affiliations, holdings and funding relevant to a paper are disclosed with it.
Attribution
Fellows speak for themselves. Nothing a fellow says is an Institute position unless published as one.

How to apply

Five things a submission has to contain.

Appointments are made against the standing research agenda, not against a CV. A submission that names the question and the method it would use is read carefully; one that lists credentials is not read further.

  1. 01A question, namedWhich of the six standing tracks you would work in, and the specific question inside it you would take on. Applications that do not name one are not read further.
  2. 02A method, in outlineHow you would answer it: data, sources, and what would count as evidence. Stated before conclusions, which is the same standard the published work is held to.
  3. 03A falsifierWhat would change your mind. A question with no answer that could embarrass you is not research.
  4. 04Relevant workOne or two pieces of prior work — published, internal or operational. A description of what you did is acceptable where the artefact cannot be shared.
  5. 05DisclosuresEmployment, venue affiliations, holdings and funding that a reader of your work would want to know about. Disclosed at application, not discovered later.

Deadlines

Rolling

The first cohort is being formed, so there is no application deadline. Submissions are read as they arrive and appointments are made when the fit is clear. When the programme moves to fixed intake windows, the dates will be published here before they apply — not announced retroactively.

Every application receives a reply, including the ones that are declined.

EXPRESSIONS OF INTEREST

Tell us which question you would take on.

Applications are read against the standing research agenda. A short note describing the work you would do — and what would change your mind about it — is worth more than a CV.

How to apply

Prediction Markets Institute

What if tomorrow was predictable?

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