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Adversarial review memos

Real questions, argued from more than one side.

Faster-turnaround than a working paper, held to the same rule: a position is stated, then argued against, before anything is called a synthesis. Shown here while still draft — pending review, not yet an Institute position.

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Prediction Markets Institute

What if tomorrow was predictable?

An independent research institute for prediction markets. We publish research and methods, set out design standards, and convene the people who build, supervise and study these markets.

Prediction Markets Institute (PMI) is the organisation. PMA-CICP is the credential it is establishing. This site is named after the credential, not after a second body.

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